Monday, August 15, 2011

Average Directional Index (ADX) Oscilator

The Average Directional Index (ADX), Minus Directional Indicator (-DI) and Plus Directional Indicator (+DI) represent a group of directional movement indicators.

more

Average Directional Index (ADX)

Introduction
Directional Movement
Calculation
Wilder's Smoothing
Interpretation
Trend Strength
DI Crossover System
Conclusions
SharpCharts
Suggested Scans
Further Study


ChartSchool


Better Expert Advisors : Volatility Adjusted Take Profit and Stop Loss Values

Tuesday, March 29, 2011

Známé neznámé indikátory technické analýzy

Známé neznámé indikátory technické analýzy

Technická analýza je se všemi svými grafickými formacemi, svíčkovými grafy a indikátory poměrně rozsáhlá disciplína a nebylo o ní napsáno zrovna málo. A proč také ne, tvoří základní součást obchodní strategie a pro krátkodobé obchodování je její znalost alfou a omegou úspěchu.

Velmi zajímavou část technické analýzy tvoří indikátory nebo indexy. Za všechny jmenujme např. známé a populární MACD, RSI, Bollinger Bands nebo Stochastiky. Bylo by však chybou se domnívat, že je to oblast ucelená, která nás již může jen těžko něčím překvapit. Vzpomeňme třeba Aroon, ne příliš používaný ukazatel, jenž spatřil světlo světa díky Tushar Chandemu teprve v roce 1995.

Mnoho investorů díky zprofanovaným seminářům a populistickým technickým analýzám zabředne mezi tři nebo čtyři, sice důležité a schopné indikátory, ale přitom ani netuší nebo možná ani nechce tušit ...
více



Elder Ray
Williams Accumulation/Distribution Index
Williams PRO-Go
Negative volume index (NVI)
Negative Volume Index (NVI)

Monday, March 28, 2011

Indikatory sire trhu - Market Breadth

Indikátory šíře trhu - Market Breadth

Indikátory šíře trhu - Market Breadth
Pásmová analýza - Bollinger Bands, Parabolic SAR
Sentiment indikátory
Cyklické indikátory – dělám co mi radí
Anticyklické indikátory - sledují laiky, dělám opak toho co radí
index ODDLOT
zdroj
index důvěry -




1. Klouzavé průměry a metody na nich založené (Moving Averages)
ověřuje se pomocí objemu

délka periody
150 - 250dnů primární trend
50 - 100 dnů sekundární trend
5 - 50 dnů terciální trend

2. Oscilatory - kolísaji okolo bodu nebo v rámci nějakeho pásma

3. Objemové indikátory

4. Sentiment indikátory - berou v úvahu psychologické faktory, tedy člověka

5. Indikátory šíře a relativní výkonnosti trhu

The Breadth of Market Indicators theory is a technical analysis theory that predicts the strength of the stock market according to the number of issues that advance or decline in a particular trading day.




Fundamentálna, technická a psychologická analýza

Friday, March 25, 2011

TA užitečné indikátory a nástroje

Užitečné indikátory a nástroje


FX Street




Indicator Guide


Indicator Basics

Using Indicators

When using indicators, it pays to understand their strengths and weaknesses.

Favorite Indicators

My favorite indicators.

Indicator Signals

Explains basic indicator and trend concepts: respect, whipsaws, divergence, and failure swings.

Indicator Time Frames

A key principle when using indicators: set the time frame to reflect the cycle being traded...

Fibonacci Numbers

Fibonacci numbers are named after Leonardo Fibonacci, a twelfth century Italian mathematician who discovered the Golden ratio.

Linear Regression

Linear regression fits a straight line to the selected data using a method called the Sum Of Least Squares.

Compare Stocks/Indices

Compare Prices

Compare stock and/or index prices. Overlays can be plotted unadjusted, or to intercept on a selected date.

Price Comparison

Price Comparison plots the performance of a stock against an index or a related stock.

Price Differential

Similar to Price Comaprison, you can compare bond yields or interest rates that share the same price axis.

Price Ratio

A powerful tool for stock selection, Price Ratio is also referred to as Relative Strength and compares the performance of a stock relative to an index or a related stock.

Relative Strength (Compare)

Relative Strength calculates the strength of one stock/index compared to a second stock/index, either with/without a specified intercept date.

Moving Average Types

Moving Average

The Moving Average smooths price data to create a powerful measure of trend direction. Simple, weighted and exponential moving averages are most popular.

Simple Moving Average

Simple moving averages are easy to construct, but prone to distortion: they tend to "bark twice".

Exponential Moving Average

Exponential moving averages are more sophisticated than simple moving averages and do not suffer from the same distortions.

Weighted Moving Average

Weighted moving averages eliminate the distortion common to simple moving averages, but are more difficult to construct than exponential moving averages.

Wilder Moving Average

Wilder moving averages are used mainly in indicators developed by J. Welles Wilder. Essentially the same as an exponential moving average, they use different weightings, for which users need to make allowance.

Moving Average Filters

Filters are employed to reduce the number of whipsaws when using moving average systems.

Moving Average High/Low/Open

Calculates moving averages using daily, weekly or monthly Highs/Lows/Opens.

Selecting A Long-Term Moving Average

How to select a long-term moving average to track the primary trend.

Moving Average Systems

Two Moving Averages

Fast and slow moving averages provide a powerful measure of trend strength and direction.

Three Moving Averages

A more sophisticated MA system that uses a third moving average to identify ranging markets.

Multiple Moving Averages

Daryl Guppy introduced multiple moving averages to measure trends and identify likely reversals. The indicator compares multiple short-term and long-term exponential moving averages.

Rainbow 3D Moving Averages

Ivan Ballin's colorful variation of Daryl Guppy's Multiple Moving Averages.

Price Envelope

Sometimes referred to as Percentage Bands, Price Envelopes are plotted at a set percentage above and below a moving average.

Keltner Channels

Linda Bradford Raschke popularized Keltner bands, plotted at an ATR multiple around an exponential MA, to filter trend entries.

Moving Average Oscillators

Commodity Channel Index

Donald Lambert's Commodity Channel Index (CCI) highlights overbought and oversold markets and likely turning points.

Detrended Price Oscillator

The Detrended Price Oscillator isolates the short cycle, providing powerful trend signals on divergences.

MA Oscillator

The Moving Average Oscillator simply compares closing price to the moving average.

MACD

MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is a powerful refinement of the two moving averages system, providing reliable signals of trend changes.

MACD Histogram

The MACD Histogram (Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram) provides far earlier and more responsive signals than the original MACD, but is also more volatile.

Trend Indicators

Aroon Oscillator

The Aroon Oscillator was developed by Tushar Chande to identify the start of a new trend and measure trend strength.

Coppock Indicator

Edwin Coppock designed this oscillator with one sole purpose: to identify the commencement of bull markets.

Directional Movement

Welles Wilder's Directional Movement is one of few indicators that not only provides trend signals but indicates whether a trend is suitable to trade.

Donchian Channels

Richard Donchian's Channels are used in a number of trading systems to identify entry and exit points in trends.

KST Indicator

Martin Pring's KST Indicator identifies major trend changes when KST crosses its signal line.

Linear Regression Indicator

The Linear Regression Indicator is used for trend identification and trend following in a similar fashion to moving averages, but reacts faster than an MA to trend changes.

Moving Average

The Moving Average smooths price data to create a powerful measure of trend direction. Simple, weighted and exponential moving averages are most popular.

Multiple Moving Averages

Daryl Guppy introduced multiple moving averages to measure trends and identify likely reversals. The indicator compares multiple short-term and long-term exponential moving averages.

Parabolic SAR

Developed by J. Welles Wilder, the Parabolic SAR indicator provides excellent short/medium-term entry and exit points in trending markets.

Rainbow 3D Moving Averages

Ivan Ballin's colorful variation of Daryl Guppy's Multiple Moving Averages.

Momentum Oscillators

ADX

ADX is part of the Directional Movement System developed by J. Welles Wilder. It is used to warn of trend changes and to identify whether a stock is trending or ranging.

Bollinger %b

Bollinger %b identifies suitable entry and exit points in a trend, while Band Width highlights when bands converge into a narrow neck, preceding a breakout.

Elder Ray Index

Developed by Dr Alexander Elder, the Elder-Ray indicator measures buying and selling pressure in the market and is often used as part of the Triple Screen trading system.

Mass Index

Donald Dorsey's Mass Index predicts trend reversals by comparing trading range over a 9 day period.

Momentum

Momentum measures trend strength and identifies likely reversal points: on divergences or when Momentum crosses the overbought/oversold line.

Negative Volume

Norman Fosback uses Negative Volume Index (NVI) with Positive Volume Index (PVI) to identify bull markets.

Positive Volume

Introduced by Norman Fosback, Positive Volume Index identifies bull and bear markets by measuring activity on days when volume is higher.

Rate Of Change (Price)

A refinement of Momentum, Rate of Change is designed to fluctuate as a percentage around the zero line.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Developed by Welles Wilder, RSI (Relative Strength Index) is a popular momentum oscillator that compares upward and downward movements in closing price.

Slow Stochastic

The Slow Stochastic Oscillator provides more reliable signals than the original indicator, applying further smoothing to reduce volatility and improve accuracy.

Smoothed Rate of Change (SROC)

Smoothed Rate of Change (SROC), introduced by Fred G Schutzman in 1991, gives slower but more accurate signals than other momentum oscillators.

Stochastic Oscillator

The Stochastic Oscillator tracks market momentum and provides excellent entry and exit signals from crossover of %K and %D lines or overbought/oversold levels.

TRIX Indicator

Designed for trading trends, TRIX uses a triple-smoothed moving average to eliminate cycles shorter than the indicator period.

Twiggs Momentum Oscillator

Twiggs Momentum Oscillator is a smoothed version of the Rate Of Change oscillator. Its primary purpose is to identify fast trending stocks.

Vertical Horizontal Filter (VHF)

Adam White's Vertical Horizontal Filter (VHF) identifies trending and ranging markets.

Williams %R

Williams %R is similar to Stochastic %K. Entry signals are taken on divergences, failure swings or crossover of the overbought/oversold level.

Williams Accumulate Distribute

Larry Williams highlights accumulation and distribution by comparing daily trading ranges. Signals are taken on divergences.

Money Flow

Accumulation Distribution

Accumulation Distribution tracks the relationship between price and volume and acts as a leading indicator of price movements. The strongest signals are divergences.

Chaikin Money Flow

Developed by Marc Chaikin, the Chaikin Money Flow indicator often warns of breakouts and provides useful trend confirmation.

Chaikin Oscillator

Marc Chaikin's oscillator monitors the flow of money in and out of the market.

Ease of Movement

Richard W Arms' powerful Ease of Movement indicator highlights the relationship between volume and price changes; useful for assessing the strength of a trend.

Equivolume Charts

The greatest advance in the last decade, equivolume exposes price and volume interaction.

Force Index

Developed by Dr Alexander Elder, the Force index combines price movements and volume to measure the strength of bulls and bears in the market.

Money Flow Index

Money Flow Index measures trend strength and warns of likely reversal points.

On Balance Volume

Developed by Joseph Granville, OBV provides a powerful measure of accumulation and distribution by comparing volume to price movements.

Price Volume Trend

The Price Volume Trend indicator measures the strength of trends and warns of reversals.

Twiggs Money Flow

Colin Twiggs' Money Flow is a derivation of the Chaikin Money Flow indicator. Position above/below the zero line gives advance indication of breakouts, while divergences warn of reversals.

Williams Accumulation Distribution

Williams Accumulation Distribution is traded on divergences. When price makes a new high and the indicator fails to exceed its previous high, distribution is taking place.

Volume Indicators

Volume

Volume highlights unusual trading activity and provide powerful confirmation of price signals.

Rate of Change (Volume)

The Rate of Change formula can also be applied to volume, where it highlights changes in volume activity.

Volume Oscillator

Volume Oscillator is an easy to use indicator that highlights changes in volume activity.

Trailing Stops

ATR Bands

Average True Range (ATR) Bands are used to signal exits in a similar fashion to ATR Trailing stops, but without the stop-and-reverse (SAR) of trailing stops.

ATR Trailing Stops

Average True Range (ATR) Trailing Stops are used to trigger exits and lock in trading profits.

Chandelier Exits

Chuck LeBeau's Chandelier Exits are primarily used as a stop loss mechanism to time exits from a trending market.

Parabolic SAR

Developed by J. Welles Wilder, the Parabolic SAR indicator provides excellent short/medium-term entry and exit points in trending markets.

Percentage Trailing Stops

Percentage Trailing Stops are a simple but effective method for locking in profits

Safezone Indicator

Alexander Elder's Safezone Stops use Directional Movement to signal exits from a trend.

Volatility Stops

Welles Wilder's original Volatility Stops uses Average True Range in a trend-following system.

Volatility Indicators

Average True Range

Average True Range are used to measure commitment. Expanding ranges signal increased eagerness and contracting ranges, a loss of enthusiasm.

Bollinger Bands

Bollinger Bands are used to confirm trading signals from momentum or trend indicators. Bands widen when prices are volatile and contract when they consolidate.

Chaikin Volatility

Developed by Marc Chaikin. Look for sharp increases in volatility prior to market tops and bottoms, followed by low volatility as the market loses interest.

True Range

Welles Wilder's True Range adjusts the normal High - Low daily range when there is an opening gap.

Volatility

Volatility is a statistical measure of risk called the coefficient of variation.

Volatility Ratio

Jack Schwager, in his book Schwager on Futures, uses the Volatility Ratio to identify wide-ranging days.

Jak využít technickou analýzu?

Jak využít technickou analýzu?


Proč používat technickou analýzu? Čistě technický obchodník má ve svém postoji jasno. Jeho přístup vychází z přesvědčení, že všechny vlivy na vývoj analyzované akcie jsou zahrnuty v grafu. Nic jiného již nepotřebuje a veškerá svá rozhodnutí čte z něj.

Nicméně ani pro obchodníka, který se rozhoduje pro nákup či prodej akcie z jiných důvodů než je TA, není TA nepotřebná. Obchodník, který se spoléhá na fundamentální analýzu a vychází z výhledů společnosti, může získat zajímavou představu o budoucím vývoji akcií společnosti. Ale co takové analýze často chybí, je načasování a analýza psychologických vlivů, které mohou způsobit, že se akcie nachází na lokálním vrcholu nebo v panice s dnem v nedohlednu. Zkrátka technická analýza může pomoci i obchodníkům, kteří přemýšlí více o fundamentech společnosti. A to v načasování otevření pozice na technicky zajímavých cenách...



Rozdělení indikátorů:


1. Trendové indikátory – MACD, Moving average (klouzavý průměr), Parabolic SAR, Zig Zag

2. Indikátory volatility – Bollinger Bands, Standard Deviation (standartní odchylka)

3. Indikátory hybnosti – MACD, Momentum, Williams %R, Stochastic Oscillator, Commodity Channel Index, Relative Strenght Index

Wednesday, March 23, 2011

Vytvořte si jednoduše automatické strategie - Expert Builder - XTB

Vytvořte si jednoduše automatické strategie - Expert Builder

23.03.2011: Vytvořte si jednoduše automatické strategie - Expert Builder
16:00 - 18:00

Postup tvorby automatického obchodního systému
Logické podmínky v programu XTB Expert Builder
Tvorba konkrétního automatického systému




Zkusili jsme: Seminář živého obchodování na Forexu od Colossea
Zkusili jsme: Specializovaný seminář XTB
Zkusili jsme: Odborný seminář Colossea o Forexu
Zkusili jsme: Vzdělávací seminář Patria Forex
Zkusili jsme: Vzdělávací seminář Fio
Zkusili jsme: Vzdělávací seminář Patria Finance



Tuesday, February 1, 2011

BOLLINGEROVA PASMA

BOLLINGEROVA PÁSMA


BOLLINGEROVA PÁSMA



Bollingerova pásma (angl. Bollinger Bands) je trendový ukazatel, který je tvořen třemi čarami. Středová linka znázorňuje klouzavý průměr, který je klasicky nastaven s 20ti denní periodou. Horní a dolní linky jsou stanoveny přičtením, nebo odečtením směrodatných odchylek od klouzavého průměru a určují volatilitu daného instrumentu. Rozšíření horní a dolní linky poukazuje na období zvýšené volatility. V případě zúžení linek dochází naopak ke snížení volatility.

Wednesday, January 5, 2011

Forex Scalping Systems

Forex Scalping Systems


 Scalping ideas (ADX and Bollinger bands)


# Scalping system #1 (Economic news releases)

# Scalping system #2 (Morning breakouts)

# Scalping system #3 (2 SARs to go)

# Scalping system #4 (5 pips with GBP/USD)

# Scalping system #5 (Tops & Bottoms)

# Scalping system #6 (EMA Bands)
# Scalping system #6-a (Trend Trades)

# Scalping system #7 (Great GBP/JPY 1M scalping strategy)

# Scalping system #8 (1 minute Scalping with Pivot Points)

# Scalping system #9 (Trading by Psychological Levels)

# Scalping system #10 (Capture M30 direction - xx.00 xx.30 strategy)


# Scalping system #11 (The Center of Gravity)

# Scalping system #12 (Three EMA's scalping)

# Scalping system #13 (CarlPlayer scalping system)

# Scalping system #14 (EURUSD scalping with Bollinger Bands)

# Scalping system #15 (Black Magic)

# Scalping system #16 (Sidekick system)
 
Scalping system #17 (Scalping, long term trading)

Tuesday, December 14, 2010

Ichimoku Kinko Hyo buying and selling signals

Ichimoku Kinko Hyo buying and selling signals


Ichimoku Kinko Hyo? The next Japanese Candlesticks?
Learn to trade the simple way
  




Ichimoku Kinko Hyo - IKH

Ichimoku Kinko Hyo Technical Indicator is predefined to characterize the market Trend, Support and Resistance Levels, and to generate signals of buying and selling. This indicator works best at weekly and daily charts.

When defining the dimension of parameters, four time intervals of different length are used. The values of individual lines composing this indicator are based on these intervals:

Tenkan-sen shows the average price value during the first time interval defined as the sum of maximum and minimum within this time, divided by two;

Kijun-sen shows the average price value during the second time interval;

Senkou Span A shows the middle of the distance between two previous lines shifted forwards by the value of the second time interval;

Senkou Span B shows the average price value during the third time interval shifted forwards by the value of the second time interval.

Chinkou Span shows the closing price of the current candle shifted backwards by the value of the second time interval.

Chris Capre - Ichimoku Trading: Strategies, Setups and What to Watch for
Tue, Dec 7 2010


Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo Technical Indicator is predefined to characterize the market Trend, Support and Resistance Levels, and to generate signals of buying and selling. This indicator works best at weekly and daily charts.

When defining the dimension of parameters, four time intervals of different length are used. The values of individual lines composing this indicator are based on these intervals:

Tenkan-sen shows the average price value during the first time interval defined as the sum of maximum and minimum within this time, divided by two;

Kijun-sen shows the average price value during the second time interval;

Senkou Span A shows the middle of the distance between two previous lines shifted forwards by the value of the second time interval;

Senkou Span B shows the average price value during the third time interval shifted forwards by the value of the second time interval.

Chinkou Span shows the closing price of the current candle shifted backwards by the value of the second time interval...
more






Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
  
Technický indikátor Ichimoku Kinko Hyo je určen pro determinování tržních trendů, úrovní supportu a rezistence a generování nákupních a prodejních signálů. Nejlépe tento ukazatel funguje na denních a týdenních grafech.
    
Používají se čtyři různé časové periody pro definování rozsahu vnitřního nastavení. Míry oddělených čar, z kterých se skládá tento indikátor, jsou založeny na těchto časových rozdílch.
více




cituji:
pro ty, kteří dont pochopit tento ukazatel.
přečtěte si tohle.
jeho z CMS.

Ichimoku Kinko Hyo japonské mapovat techniku, vyvinutý před druhou světovou válkou, jejímž cílem je zobrazovat, ve snímku, kde cena byla čísla, a když byl ve správný čas ke vstupu nebo opuštění trhu. To vše se provádí bez pomoci jakékoliv jiné technické analýzy technika (či pracovna).
Slovo Ichimoku mohou být přeloženy do znamenat 'pohled' nebo 'jeden pohled'. Kinko přenese se do 'rovnováhy' nebo 'balancovat', s ohledem na cenu a čas, a Hyo je japonské slovo pro 'graf'. Tak, Ichimoku Kinko Hyo jednoduše znamená 'pohled na graf rovnováhy', poskytující panoramatický pohled na to, kde ceny pravděpodobně jít a pozice jeden by měl provést.

Vynalezl japonský spisovatel noviny s pseudonymem 'Ichimoku Sanjin', mínit 'pohled na hory člověka', grafy Ichimoku staly populární nástroj pro obchodování v Japonsku, a to nejen v rámci akciového trhu, ale v měně, dluhopisů , futures, komodity a opce trzích. Tato technika byla zveřejněna před 30 lety, ale má jen získal mezinárodní pozornost pouze v posledních několika letech.

Výpočet

Graf Ichimoku sestává z pěti linek a výpočet těchto pět řádků zahrnuje pouze při středy předchozích vzestupy a pády, podobně jako klouzavý průměr studií. I s jeho jednoduchost, vyplněný grafu je schopen předložit jasnou perspektivu do akční ceny cenného papíru v ruce.
Pěti řádcích se vypočte takto:

1) Tenkan-Sen \u003d Konverze Line \u003d (Nejvyšší vysoké + nízké nejnižší) / 2, za posledních 9 období

2) Kijun-Sen \u003d Base Line \u003d (Nejvyšší vysoké + nízké nejnižší) / 2, za posledních 26 dob

3) Chikou Span \u003d Rozehrání Span \u003d dnešní zavírací cena vynese 26 za období

4) Senkou Span \u003d Přední Span \u003d (Tenkan-Sen-Sen Kijun +) / 2, 26 vykreslené období před

5) Senkou Span B \u003d Přední Span B \u003d (Nejvyšší vysoké + nízké nejnižší) / 2, za posledních 52 období, osnoval 26 období před

Kumo \u003d Cloud \u003d plocha mezi Senkou Span A a B

Příklad grafu je znázorněna Ichimoku výše.


Tlumočení

Jak je vidět z rovnice, Ichimoku je velmi podobný Klouzavý průměr studií. A stejně jako klouzavé průměry, nakupovat a prodávat signály jsou uvedeny s přechodem technikou.
Býčí signál je vydán, když Tenkan-Sen (zelená linka) protíná Kijun-Sen (fialová čára) z níže. Na druhé straně je medvědí signál vydá, jestliže Tenkan-Sen kříže Kijun-Sen shora.

Navíc, tam jsou ve skutečnosti různé úrovně síly pro nakupovat a prodávat signály grafu Ichimoku.

Za prvé, jestliže tam byl optimistický signál crossover a crossover došlo nad Kumo (nebo mraky), bylo by to považováno za velmi silný signál koupit (je uvedeno se třemi zelenými šipek nahoru). V kontrastu, kdyby tam byl bearish crossover signál a crossover došlo pod Kumo, bylo by to považováno za velmi silný prodejní signál (je uvedeno se třemi červenými dolů, jak je uvedeno výše).

Zadruhé by normální koupit nebo prodat signál být vydáno v případě, že crossover se konala v rámci Kumo (nebo mraky). Tyto signály by byly označeny dvě zelené šipky nahoru, pro signál koupit, a dvě červené dolů, za prodejní signál.

Zatřetí by slabý signál koupit udělit, jestliže tam byl optimistický crossover, k nimž došlo pod Kumo (nebo mraky). To je indikováno pouze s jednou zelenou šipku nahoru (viz výše). Na druhou stranu, by slabý signál prodat být vydáno, pokud by existovala bearish crossover, která nastala nad Kumo. To je indikováno pouze s jednou červenou šipku.

Dalším pozoruhodným rysem této metody grafů Ichimoku je identifikace úrovně podpory a odporu. Tyto úrovně lze detekovat přítomnost Kumo (nebo mraky). Kumo lze také použít k identifikaci převažující trend na trhu. Pokud je cena nad Kumo, je převládající trend řekl, aby byl nahoru. A pokud je cena pod Kumo, je převládající trend řekl, aby byl dole.

Konečné rysem grafu Ichimoku je Chikou Span (nebo Rozehrání Span). Tato linka může být použita pro určení pevnosti koupit nebo prodat signál. Pokud Chikou Span je pod zavírací cenou pro 26 období před a prodávat signál je vydán, pak síla je s prodejci, jinak to je slabý signál prodat. Naopak, kdyby tam byl signál koupit a Chikou rozpětí je vyšší než cena, za 26 období před, pak je tu sílu vzhůru, jinak to může být považován za slabý signál koupit. Tato funkce může být také začleněny do jiných signálů.


Parametry

Existují tři hlavní období - 9, 26 a 52. Když byly tyto ukazatele vytvořeny zpět v roce 1930, obchodní týden byla 6 dnů.
9 období, nebo dny \u003d jeden a půl týdne

26 \u003d období jeden měsíc

52 \u003d období dva měsíce

Nyní, že obchodní týden 5 dnů, jeden může chtít změnit parametry následující:

7 nebo 8 dob nebo dny \u003d jeden a půl týdne

22 \u003d období jeden měsíc

44 \u003d období dva měsíce

Vizuální obchodování stanoví Ichimoku Kinko Hyo na výchozí parametry 9, 26 a 52 období.

zdroj


Thursday, September 9, 2010

Forex Trading System

Forex Trading System

It seems that everywhere you look, you see advertisements for software promising accurate buy and sell signals and profits with every trade. Just have a look at some captions of the adverts I have seen!

“I’ve Finally Cracked the Forex Code”

“ Make thousand pips every month”

“ Trade Forex with a secret formula that only a handful of Traders use” The list is endless.. These so-called killer systems don’t come cheap, costing you thousands to buy. However with just a little bit of effort, you too can “crack this secret code” yourself.

Once again let me assure you, from my experience and knowledge of being a trader for the past 20 years, that there is “NO Secret Code”, “NO Killer Systems”, “NO Holy Grail”, and “No Unique Discoveries”.

In my opinion most of these adverts are no more than scams. It may not make YOU rich, but it will certainly make the Vendor’s millionaires. Most of these secrets and codes or discoveries are readily available to you. The only secret is that YOU don’t know how to use these simple strategies! Or nobody has shown you how to use them correctly.

This is precisely what I am going to do in my book – “ The way to Trade Forex”, I hope to hold your hand and show you step by step how to create a killer trading system of your own. However, the fact is that many traders are simply lazy and cannot make time to plan or create a system.

YOU have a choice, either become a winning trader or continue to lose money!


What Is a Trading System?


A trading system is simply a group of specific rules, or parameters, that determine entry and exit points for your trade. These points, known as signals, are often marked on a chart in real time and will prompt you to pull the trigger.

Here are some of the most common tools used to construct a trading system-

Chart Patterns

Moving Averages

Stochastics

Oscillators

Relative Strength

Bollinger Bands

Elliott Wave

Often, two or more of these forms of indicators will be combined in the creation of a rule. For example, the MA crossover system uses two moving average parameters, the long-term and the short-term, to create a rule:

FX trading school

Advantages
So, why might you want to adopt a trading system?

It takes all emotion out of trading – Emotion is often cited as one of the biggest flaws of individual investors. By cutting down on these human inefficiencies, system traders can increase profits. Apart from going through lot of strategies in this book so that you can construct your own Trading System, I am also devoting lot of space in psychology of trading, without which a trader can simply not succeed.

It can save a lot of time – Once an effective system is developed and optimised, there is little to no effort necessary on the part of the trader. Computers are often used to automate the signal generation.

Developing an effective trading system is by no means an easy task. It requires a solid understanding of the many parameters available, the ability to make realistic assumptions, and the time and dedication to develop the system. However, if developed and deployed properly, a trading system can yield many advantages. It can increase efficiency, free up-time and, most importantly, increase your profits.



Designing a Trading System


In my book “The Way to Trade FOREX”, I discuss many of the successful and profitable trading strategies that I have made use of from most of the Tools mentioned above. In addition as a follow up service, I am also extending a free 1 month mentoring so as to help you not only devise a Trading system, but also help you in preparing a Trader’s Plan or assist with your Trader Psychology.


Here are some of the key factors to keep in mind when designing a trading system in the FOREX:

1. The liquidity and the volume in the Forex market is huge, therefore making trading systems more accurate and effective.
2. Most brokers do not charge commissions in this market, only spreads Therefore, it’s much easier to make many transactions without increasing costs. Some brokers offer a very low pip spread.

3. Compared to the amount of equities or commodities available, the number of currencies to trade is limited. But because of the availability of ‘exotic currency pairs’--that is, currencies from smaller countries--the range is not limited.

4. The main trading systems used in FOREX are those that follow trends (a popular saying in the market is “the trend is your friend”), or systems that buy or sell on breakouts. This is because economic indicators often cause large price movements at one time.

5. A good quality charting package, I use the eSignal and would highly recommend this package to any readers.

In my long experience of Trading, I have read many books on trading and technical analysis. I have come across very few books, which focus on the importance of trading plans and trading systems and assisting their readers in creating such a system. This is precisely what this book is aimed at, i.e. Assist you in creating your own killer trading system, having a trading plan, and finally a follow-up service.



Overcoming Fear

How do you define fear? “A strong emotion caused by anticipation or awareness of danger, it implies anxiety and usually the loss of courage.” This definition of fear is useful in helping define the issues that traders face when coping with fear. The reality is that all traders feel fear at some level, but the key is how we prepare to address our concerns related to taking on risk as a trader.

Mark Douglas, in his book, ‘Trading in the Zone’, says that most investors believe they know what is going to happen next. This causes traders to put too much weight on the outcome of the current trade, while not assessing their performance as “a probability game” that they are playing over time. This manifests itself in investors getting too high and too low and causes them to react emotionally, with excessive fear or greed after a series of losses or wins.

All traders will encounter fear at some stage, no matter whether you are a professional or a novice trader, this seems inevitable, and to succeed and fight fear, traders will have to work through this positively. Winning traders manage their fear, while losers are controlled by it.


Winners take positive action in spite of their fears.

Two of the greatest fears that a trader will encounter can be,

1. Fear of Loss

2. Fear of Letting a profit turn into a loss Fear of a Loss



Fear of Loss

No matter how skilled you may be in your technical analysis, or your study of fundamental analysis, or your having devised some brilliant trading strategies – but you may still face roadblocks on becoming a successful and a profitable trader. Why? – Overcoming fear of losing money. I have never met a trader who really likes losing money – at the same time I have never come across any trader who has NEVER lost any money. I know of one leading “guru” on charts and technical analysis in UK, who regularly lectures at seminars, once admitted that despite being brilliant in his study of technical analysis, he has failed miserably in his trading, having blown his account many times – now he just concentrates on teaching trading to others!

Fear of losing is not a problem, but it is how you handle the loss. A trader, who is relaxed, can look forward to another trade. Your success or failure in trading depends on your attitudes towards your gain as well as losses – and how you handle them.

The market does not know that you, the traders exists, you or for that matter any trader cannot do anything to change the market or influence it. Only YOU can control your behaviour.

Whether it is a big drawdown on an account, or a good profitable trade, a professional trader uses his head to stay calm and will look for his new trade. Only a novice trader will become excited and depressed. You are simply wasting your precious nervous energy! The primary difference between a professional trader and a novice trader is how they handle a loss. One of the greatest reason for a lack of success in trading is because most traders played it safe, they are so afraid of losing that they simply do not pull the trigger, even when they have a great trade! To a professional trader, winning means being unafraid to lose. Imagine how many times did you fall down, before you finally learnt to ride a bike? Or how many times did the baby fall down before the child went from crawling to walking to running?

So for most novice traders, the reason they do not win in their trading is because the pain of losing money is far greater than the joy of being a winning trader, on the other hand losing inspires a professional trader, for he will look at that as a way to learn from that loss and he will always ask the question, how can I profit the next time? The winning trader will have a trading journal, where he records his trade; he will pull out the chart, and study it carefully, why the trade made a loss. A professional Trader is more concerned about avoiding a big loss, and less concerned about small losses.

One trader that I had recently coached had an overall winning trade of 80%, yet his overall monetary record is of having a massive loss. He likes trading stock futures, particularly the stock Google, had many, many successful trades on the long side, but finally he went short at $179 and at the time of writing this book, he was still short with the price at $198. He had many opportunities to come out with a small loss, but “he did not want to take a loss”. This position has stopped him focussing on new opportunities.

The longer you can stay in the game with a sound trading plan, the more likely you will start to experience a better run of trades, that will always serve you well in times of temporary trading slumps. Being a cricket follower, I see that even a world-class cricketer goes through a lean patch, be it Botham, Tendulkar or Richards – But they all come back with a bang, so it should not be different for a trader.

What is important is how well you execute your trading plan, and stay focussed with ruthless discipline. With a good trading plan you should be able to have an entry and exit strategies, which you will action decisively and not hesitantly.


Fear of letting a profit turn into a loss

I am often asked when do I take my profit? - I simply say, “Go with the trend! – Let the profits run, and cut the losses short” But what do most Traders do? They SNATCH PROFITS and let the losses run! Too many traders want to lock in a quick profit to guarantee that they feel like a winner.

In the above example of a trader who was trading Google, had he just followed the above rule, of letting the profits run and cutting short the loss, he would have quadrupled his equity. Yet now he is close to getting wiped out. He is now saving money from his full time job, to fund his account to have another go!

So when do you take profits? For example I tend to break my trade into 2 lots, or 4 lots, depending on what time frame I am trading. So lets say If I am trading a shorter term time frame, I break my trade in 2 lots, so that as soon as I am say 30 points in profit, I close 50% of my trade

and then for the remaining, I move my stop to break even. This way I am guaranteed that I will not lose! I will let the second lot run and I am seeking to ride the position with a trailing stop on the remaining portion of the position. Quite often I get stopped out, but imagine if only 2 out 10 trades you catch are a “big move” – what would that do to your bank balance! – The key is patience.

If however, I were trading a longer-term time frame, I would break the trade in 4 parts, taking 25% profits gradually, and at the same time trying to catch the big move. This strategy has given me the most confidence.


In 2003 I went long on the Nikkei Index, after it broke out of its long downtrend. I was so confident that the bottom was made here, having started of with a wide stop I was now hoping to ride this all the way up! The position was broken down into 4 parts, i.e. 25% each portion. The target for each portion was 250 points, 500, 750 and finally 1,000 points. As soon as my 250 points were achieved, I moved my stop to a Breakeven point in money terms, then a limit order to take profits as the Index went on a run! One of my Trader friends said “ I was crazy” – subsequently he ate his words. In so many years of my trading experience, I have yet to come across anyone, unless they have not told me, to have achieved a thousand points. All you need is faith in your system, with discipline to follow your goal and a lot of patience! One of my goals is to target a point gain of 5,000 points on Google, either on a short side or Long. You will know of it, when I achieve it So just how do you achieve the faith in your system, the discipline and patience? In my opinion, for a novice trader, it is vitally important to have some sort of consultancy from experienced traders or have a trader’s coach to guide them. Few thousands spent on being mentored, will more than be paid for not only from the profits that you will make as a result – but also the losses you will not sustain. Refer to the section “A trading coach” for more information.

You have a choice, and only YOU, can make that decision

Jay Lakhani was born in Malawi, C.Africa and came to the UK when he was 18. He is a professional trader and has been involved with markets since his early twenties. He has

extensive experience of both the US and UK stock markets – Trading in derivatives, Forex, Index & Stock futures, and Commodities.
Jay was introduced to the glory of the Stock market by the Lady Thatcher’s Privatisation programme in the eighties, and has never looked back. He has survived a number of stock

market crashes, including the crash of 1987 – an experience that has made him a better trader today. Over the years, he has developed unique trading systems and strategies, which have made him into a successful trader.
One would say that Jay is blessed with a mind that finds creative solutions to problems; a kind of a person that sees multiple solutions, he has a very inquiring mind. Once he is shown a strategy, he will always look at ways at which it can be improved. Jay uses Technical Analysis in his trading, and believes that successful trading is based on your Strategies and Techniques – your system. He also believes that more emphasis should be put on the trader psychology and having a disciplined money management.
 
Jay is also the Internet’s foremost Forex coach and mentor, and teaches his system to individual investors. For more information about his training and mentoring programme, go to http://www.4x4u.net/

Prior to becoming a full time trader, Jay was an Accountant, having worked with large companies such as British Airways and Visionhire – a Granada Company. Later on, Jay was working as a Financial Planner specialising in Portfolio Management and Tax Planning.

Friday, August 20, 2010

Positive Volume Index - PVI

Positive Volume Index PVI

The Positive Volume Index was introduced (in Stock Market Logic) by Norman Fosback and is often used in conjunction with Negative Volume Index to identify bull and bear markets... more

Negative Volume Index NVI

Negative Volume Index NVI

Negative Volume Index

The Negative Volume Index was introduced (in Stock Market Logic) by Norman Fosback and is often used in conjunction with Positive Volume Index to identify bull markets. The two indicators are based on the assumption that the smart money dominates trading on quiet days and that the uninformed crowd dominates trading on active days... more

Sunday, August 8, 2010

The Way to Trade Forex by Jay Lakhani

The Way to Trade Forex by Jay Lakhani

Jay Lakhani was born in Malawi, C.Africa and came to the UK when he was 18. He is a professional trader and has been involved with markets since his early twenties. He has
extensive experience of both the US and UK stock markets – Trading in derivatives, Forex, Index & Stock futures, and Commodities...

The Way to Trade Forex - Discover the Successful and Profitable Trading Strategies



"Failure is a man who has not learnt from his blunders. If you are able to cash in on that experience you are on the path to success" - Jay Lakhani, Forex Trader

It is a sad fact that 90% of traders fail, and many very quickly give up. Why? When I went through a phase of losing trades I treated it as a temporary setback and went back to the drawing board. I analysed the reasons of my failure and I sought the guidance of Top Traders, Mentors and Coaches to put me back on the path of success and profitability.
In my opinion the high rate of failure for a new trader can be related to the six major obstacles that a trader faces, which are summarised as follows -
Poor Skills
Lack of adequate capital
Setting unrealistic targets and goals
Lack of Patience
Lack of discipline
High risk aversion.

If we look at the list, it becomes apparent that the failure is as a result of trading without having in place a proper Trading System and a Trading Plan- One that includes mind training, quality Forex education and strategies and sound money management rules.
So what are the Characteristics of a Successful Trader? All we have to do is to reframe the liabilities listed above:
- Adequate trading knowledge and understanding. You should seek services of good quality mentors and a trading coach.
- Adequate capitalisation - Don't be fooled that you can earn thousands every week from a starting capital of $500
- Realistic Goals - don't expect 100% profit each month, it simply is not possible.
- Have patience - don't trade if you don't have to. You should wait for a set-up according to your trading plan and system.
- Have Discipline to follow your rules
- Understanding and Managing Risk
- And lastly the most important is having a Trading System and a Trading Plan. Virtually 90% of Traders that

I have coached have never had one!
If you look at the advice from the world's most successful people or traders today, you will notice that they follow the guidelines as identified above.

"Define first the level of risk you dare assume. Start with a small position, and then build it up if it works" - George Soros

"Give me a stock clerk with a goal and I'll give you a man who will make history. Give me a man with no goals and I'll give you a stock clerk" - J.C. Penny

" If you go to work on your goals, your goals will go to work on you. If you go to work on your plan, your plan will go to work on you. Whatever good things we build end up building us." - Jim Rohn

In this course, I will attempt to turn you from an amateur trader to a master trader. All you have to simply do is to follow the simple ideas and strategies put forward in this manual. It is only

YOU who is responsible for your success or failure."I can show you the path to successful trading - but YOU have to make a choice to follow it or not."

- Jay Lakhani, Forex Trader

free download book here



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